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Red130
602337.9
332928.9
691957.9
Blue44
507422.5
179514.4
424014.3
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13547010015020013044

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+76Teleop
+86Endgame
+86Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
3Leave3
4Coral scored#2
20Coral points9
23Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +65
19Coral scored#7
69Coral points24
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
12Processor points0
12Net points4
24Algae points4
93Total teleop28
Reef
9L4#4
6L3#3
4L2#1
4L1 · trough#1
28Game pieces#10
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +86
0Foul points0
130Total score44

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.90.9
53.154.0
Auto12.2
Teleop37.6
End8.1
red by 35.4
5074
#13
22.50.6
23.623.0
Auto5.2
Teleop15.1
End2.3
Second
37.90.9
33.134.0
Auto6.1
Teleop30.7
End1.2
red by 23.4
1795
#21
14.40.6
10.19.5
Auto3.1
Teleop10.0
End1.4
Third
28.90.9
23.724.6
Auto4.2
Teleop22.8
End1.9
red by 14.6
4240
#10
14.30.6
14.113.5
Auto4.0
Teleop9.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsEarned64%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsEarned13%Barge oddsMissed