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Red25
241526.7
445913.3
767613.1
Blue88
582810.4
334423.4
690511.9
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions544402060801001202588

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+9
Endgame+5
Fouls+63
Autonomouslevel
9Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +9
2Coral scored#4
8Coral points15
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#0
0Processor points6
4Net points0
4Algae points6
12Total teleop21
Reef
1L4#2
1L3#1
0L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
3Game pieces#6
BargeRed +4
4Cage & park0
4Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +63
0Foul points58
25Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2415
#18
26.71.7
25.824.1
Auto3.8
Teleop22.1
End0.7
red by 3.2
3344
#12
23.40.8
19.018.2
Auto3.8
Teleop19.2
End0.4
Second
4459
#22
13.31.7
9.47.7
Auto2.9
Teleop9.7
End0.6
red by 1.4
6905
#20
11.90.8
15.514.7
Auto2.9
Teleop6.9
End2.1
Third
7676
#25
13.11.7
15.213.5
Auto4.9
Teleop7.0
End1.2
red by 2.7
5828
#14
10.40.8
7.76.9
Auto3.0
Teleop6.9
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsMissed35%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
10%Barge oddsMissed9%Barge oddsMissed