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Red137
177183.7
692529.9
1048226.5
Blue50
450919.5
100228.2
751414.2
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16053010020025013750

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+67Teleop
+89Endgame
+87Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
6Leave9
8Coral scored#2
38Coral points11
44Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +43
12Coral scored#4
43Coral points14
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
12Processor points6
12Net points4
24Algae points10
67Total teleop24
Reef
9L4#2
4L3#2
4L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
25Game pieces#8
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +87
0Foul points2
137Total score50

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
83.70.1
74.974.8
Auto26.0
Teleop49.4
End8.2
red by 55.4
28.21.2
26.525.3
Auto7.3
Teleop19.4
End1.5
Second
6925
#15
29.90.1
28.928.8
Auto4.5
Teleop23.3
End2.0
red by 10.4
4509
#24
19.51.2
20.919.7
Auto5.9
Teleop13.0
End0.5
Third
26.50.1
29.229.0
Auto6.8
Teleop12.0
End7.7
red by 12.2
7514
#19
14.21.2
13.312.1
Auto2.8
Teleop10.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
32%Coral oddsEarned2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
89%Barge oddsEarned9%Barge oddsMissed