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Red50
602337.9
747010.6
179514.4
Blue36
1033811.0
884916.4
507422.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72510204060801001201405036

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+16Teleop
+14Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave6
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points6
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +12
6Coral scored#3
22Coral points12
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
6Processor points0
4Net points8
10Algae points8
32Total teleop20
Reef
2L4#1
2L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#6
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
0Foul points0
50Total score36

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.90.6
34.033.4
Auto6.1
Teleop30.7
End1.2
red by 15.4
5074
#13
22.50.6
23.022.4
Auto5.2
Teleop15.1
End2.3
Second
1795
#21
14.40.6
9.58.9
Auto3.1
Teleop10.0
End1.4
blue by 2.0
8849
#23
16.40.6
11.911.3
Auto2.9
Teleop12.3
End1.2
Third
7470
#17
10.60.6
15.514.9
Auto3.4
Teleop6.5
End0.7
blue by 0.4
11.00.6
10.59.9
Auto2.4
Teleop6.4
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
29%Auto oddsEarned50%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
7%Barge oddsMissed9%Barge oddsMissed