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Red99
926038.0
332928.9
424014.3
Blue121
126150.0
241526.7
808030.9
29%Model gave it71%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8210220406012014016018099121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+20
Endgame+22
Fouls+22
AutonomousBlue +21
0Leave9
2Coral scored#5
12Coral points24
12Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +1
16Coral scored#18
59Coral points64
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
12Processor points6
16Net points16
28Algae points22
87Total teleop86
Reef
9L4#6
4L3#10
2L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +2
0Cage & park2
0Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +22
0Foul points0
99Total score121

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.00.7
36.737.4
Auto5.8
Teleop31.1
End1.1
blue by 12.0
50.01.1
42.743.7
Auto13.7
Teleop34.7
End1.6
Second
28.90.7
24.625.3
Auto4.2
Teleop22.8
End1.9
blue by 2.0
30.91.1
24.225.2
Auto6.5
Teleop22.8
End1.6
Third
4240
#10
14.30.7
13.514.2
Auto4.0
Teleop9.2
End1.1
blue by 12.3
2415
#18
26.71.1
24.125.1
Auto3.8
Teleop22.1
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsEarned9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsMissed