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Red70
473019.4
582810.4
692529.9
Blue102
691011.5
691957.9
100228.2
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions611055015070102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+32
Endgame+32
Fouls+32
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave0
1Coral scored#5
3Coral points26
12Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +18
9Coral scored#13
32Coral points46
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
12Processor points12
8Net points12
20Algae points24
52Total teleop70
Reef
4L4#8
4L3#5
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
14Game pieces#23
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +32
0Foul points0
70Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6925
#15
29.90.2
28.829.0
Auto4.5
Teleop23.3
End2.0
blue by 28.0
57.90.4
54.054.4
Auto12.2
Teleop37.6
End8.1
Second
4730
#11
19.40.2
21.722.0
Auto4.3
Teleop13.2
End2.0
blue by 8.8
28.20.4
25.325.6
Auto7.3
Teleop19.4
End1.5
Third
5828
#14
10.40.2
6.97.1
Auto3.0
Teleop6.9
End0.5
blue by 1.1
6910
#16
11.50.4
9.49.8
Auto3.4
Teleop6.9
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed46%Barge oddsMissed