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Red98
691957.9
1048226.5
690511.9
Blue105
332928.9
582810.4
126150.0
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10982406010012014016098105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+27
Endgame+7
Fouls+7
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave9
5Coral scored#4
26Coral points21
26Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +23
7Coral scored#14
26Coral points49
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
6Processor points6
16Net points16
22Algae points22
48Total teleop71
Reef
3L4#8
4L3#4
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
17Game pieces#23
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +7
0Foul points0
98Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.90.0
54.454.4
Auto12.2
Teleop37.6
End8.1
red by 7.9
50.01.9
43.745.7
Auto13.7
Teleop34.7
End1.6
Second
26.50.0
29.029.0
Auto6.8
Teleop12.0
End7.7
blue by 2.4
28.91.9
25.327.2
Auto4.2
Teleop22.8
End1.9
Third
6905
#20
11.90.0
14.714.7
Auto2.9
Teleop6.9
End2.1
red by 1.4
5828
#14
10.41.9
7.19.1
Auto3.0
Teleop6.9
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned56%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
90%Barge oddsEarned15%Barge oddsMissed