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Red33
767613.1
424014.3
691011.5
Blue54
747010.6
926038.0
473019.4
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions388902060801001201401603354

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+17
Endgame+15
Fouls+21
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave6
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points13
15Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +13
2Coral scored#6
8Coral points23
1Processor algae#0
0Net algae#1
6Processor points0
0Net points4
6Algae points4
14Total teleop27
Reef
1L4#3
1L3#2
0L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
4Game pieces#10
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +21
0Foul points6
33Total score54

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4240
#10
14.30.3
14.213.9
Auto4.0
Teleop9.2
End1.1
blue by 23.7
38.01.8
37.435.6
Auto5.8
Teleop31.1
End1.1
Second
7676
#25
13.10.3
13.513.2
Auto4.9
Teleop7.0
End1.2
blue by 6.3
4730
#11
19.41.8
22.020.2
Auto4.3
Teleop13.2
End2.0
Third
6910
#16
11.50.3
9.89.5
Auto3.4
Teleop6.9
End1.2
red by 0.9
7470
#17
10.61.8
14.913.2
Auto3.4
Teleop6.5
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
9%Barge oddsMissed13%Barge oddsMissed