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Red160
177183.7
334423.4
507422.5
Blue91
808030.9
179514.4
100228.2
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13953010015020016091

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+57Teleop
+69Endgame
+69Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
6Leave6
8Coral scored#2
38Coral points10
44Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +29
20Coral scored#10
72Coral points37
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#4
12Processor points18
16Net points16
28Algae points34
100Total teleop71
Reef
11L4#5
7L3#3
6L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
34Game pieces#19
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +69
0Foul points0
160Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
83.72.8
75.177.9
Auto26.0
Teleop49.4
End8.2
red by 52.8
30.92.1
25.627.7
Auto6.5
Teleop22.8
End1.6
Second
3344
#12
23.42.8
19.722.5
Auto3.8
Teleop19.2
End0.4
blue by 4.8
28.22.1
25.627.7
Auto7.3
Teleop19.4
End1.5
Third
5074
#13
22.52.8
23.326.1
Auto5.2
Teleop15.1
End2.3
red by 8.1
1795
#21
14.42.1
8.510.6
Auto3.1
Teleop10.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
30%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
52%Barge oddsEarned4%Barge oddsMissed