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Red86
691011.5
926038.0
602337.9
Blue72
473019.4
332928.9
767613.1
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9770204060801201401608672

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+14Teleop
+14Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
0Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
6Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +20
14Coral scored#9
50Coral points34
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
68Total teleop48
Reef
6L4#4
3L3#2
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#13
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
6Foul points6
86Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.00.0
35.635.7
Auto5.8
Teleop31.1
End1.1
red by 9.1
28.90.4
27.227.6
Auto4.2
Teleop22.8
End1.9
Second
37.90.0
34.334.3
Auto6.1
Teleop30.7
End1.2
red by 18.5
4730
#11
19.40.4
20.220.6
Auto4.3
Teleop13.2
End2.0
Third
6910
#16
11.50.0
9.59.5
Auto3.4
Teleop6.9
End1.2
blue by 1.6
7676
#25
13.10.4
13.213.6
Auto4.9
Teleop7.0
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsMissed53%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
7%Barge oddsMissed11%Barge oddsMissed