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Red30
450919.5
690511.9
692529.9
Blue84
747010.6
241526.7
691957.9
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions651052040801201401603084

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+52
Endgame+54
Fouls+54
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave3
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points10
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +48
4Coral scored#12
15Coral points43
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
0Processor points12
4Net points12
4Algae points24
19Total teleop67
Reef
2L4#6
2L3#3
1L2#3
0L1 · trough#2
6Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +54
0Foul points0
30Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6925
#15
29.92.3
29.026.8
Auto4.5
Teleop23.3
End2.0
blue by 28.0
57.90.5
54.453.8
Auto12.2
Teleop37.6
End8.1
Second
4509
#24
19.52.3
20.117.8
Auto5.9
Teleop13.0
End0.5
blue by 7.2
2415
#18
26.70.5
24.724.1
Auto3.8
Teleop22.1
End0.7
Third
6905
#20
11.92.3
14.712.4
Auto2.9
Teleop6.9
End2.1
red by 1.3
7470
#17
10.60.5
13.212.6
Auto3.4
Teleop6.5
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsMissed74%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed68%Barge oddsMissed