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Red84
424014.3
334423.4
100228.2
Blue47
1048226.5
507422.5
582810.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions707050606575808447

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+31Teleop
+19Endgame
+37Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +31
11Coral scored#5
39Coral points18
2Processor algae#1
1Net algae#0
12Processor points6
4Net points0
16Algae points6
55Total teleop24
Reef
5L4#2
3L3#2
3L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +37
18Foul points0
84Total score47

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.20.1
27.727.8
Auto7.3
Teleop19.4
End1.5
red by 1.8
26.51.2
29.027.8
Auto6.8
Teleop12.0
End7.7
Second
3344
#12
23.40.1
22.522.6
Auto3.8
Teleop19.2
End0.4
red by 0.9
5074
#13
22.51.2
26.124.9
Auto5.2
Teleop15.1
End2.3
Third
4240
#10
14.30.1
13.914.0
Auto4.0
Teleop9.2
End1.1
red by 3.9
5828
#14
10.41.2
9.68.4
Auto3.0
Teleop6.9
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsMissed85%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
7%Barge oddsEarned51%Barge oddsEarned