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Red85
692529.9
926038.0
884916.4
Blue151
241526.7
177183.7
582810.4
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions851375010015020085151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+31
Teleop+66
Endgame+66
Fouls+66
AutonomousBlue +31
6Leave9
0Coral scored#6
0Coral points28
6Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +35
13Coral scored#23
45Coral points82
1Processor algae#2
6Net algae#4
6Processor points12
24Net points16
30Algae points28
75Total teleop110
Reef
4L4#13
6L3#7
2L2#5
1L1 · trough#4
20Game pieces#35
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +66
0Foul points0
85Total score151

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.00.3
37.337.0
Auto5.8
Teleop31.1
End1.1
blue by 45.7
83.71.8
79.280.9
Auto26.0
Teleop49.4
End8.2
Second
6925
#15
29.90.3
28.328.0
Auto4.5
Teleop23.3
End2.0
red by 3.2
2415
#18
26.71.8
25.827.6
Auto3.8
Teleop22.1
End0.7
Third
8849
#23
16.40.3
14.914.6
Auto2.9
Teleop12.3
End1.2
red by 6.0
5828
#14
10.41.8
8.410.1
Auto3.0
Teleop6.9
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsMissed80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed40%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
9%Barge oddsMissed59%Barge oddsMissed