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Red78
332928.9
808030.9
1033811.0
Blue92
450919.5
691011.5
691957.9
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69920204060801001201401607892

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+14
Endgame+14
Fouls+14
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave6
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points17
9Total auto23
Teleoperatedlevel
11Coral scored#11
39Coral points39
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
63Total teleop63
Reef
5L4#4
2L3#4
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#19
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +14
0Foul points0
78Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.90.6
29.229.9
Auto6.5
Teleop22.8
End1.6
blue by 27.0
57.90.5
54.655.2
Auto12.2
Teleop37.6
End8.1
Second
28.90.6
29.129.8
Auto4.2
Teleop22.8
End1.9
red by 9.4
4509
#24
19.50.5
19.520.0
Auto5.9
Teleop13.0
End0.5
Third
11.00.6
10.411.0
Auto2.4
Teleop6.4
End2.1
blue by 0.6
6910
#16
11.50.5
10.010.5
Auto3.4
Teleop6.9
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsMissed67%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
10%Barge oddsMissed50%Barge oddsMissed