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Red183
691957.9
445913.3
177183.7
Blue42
507422.5
241526.7
747010.6
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16951010015020025018342

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+39Auto
+115Teleop
+135Endgame
+141Fouls
AutonomousRed +39
6Leave3
8Coral scored#1
42Coral points6
48Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +76
20Coral scored#5
71Coral points19
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
18Processor points6
16Net points4
34Algae points10
105Total teleop29
Reef
11L4#2
7L3#2
5L2#1
5L1 · trough#1
35Game pieces#8
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +141
6Foul points0
183Total score42

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
83.70.7
80.981.6
Auto26.0
Teleop49.4
End8.2
red by 57.0
2415
#18
26.70.5
27.627.1
Auto3.8
Teleop22.1
End0.7
Second
57.90.7
55.255.8
Auto12.2
Teleop37.6
End8.1
red by 35.4
5074
#13
22.50.5
23.423.0
Auto5.2
Teleop15.1
End2.3
Third
4459
#22
13.30.7
10.511.2
Auto2.9
Teleop9.7
End0.6
red by 2.6
7470
#17
10.60.5
11.511.1
Auto3.4
Teleop6.5
End0.7