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Red65
692529.9
691011.5
808030.9
Blue102
445913.3
424014.3
177183.7
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4910502040608012014016065102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+33
Endgame+31
Fouls+37
AutonomousBlue +21
3Leave9
2Coral scored#5
9Coral points24
12Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +12
7Coral scored#9
25Coral points33
1Processor algae#3
4Net algae#2
6Processor points18
16Net points8
22Algae points26
47Total teleop59
Reef
3L4#6
3L3#4
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#19
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +37
0Foul points6
65Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.90.5
17.518.0
Auto6.5
Teleop22.8
End1.6
blue by 52.8
83.70.1
71.571.6
Auto26.0
Teleop49.4
End8.2
Second
6925
#15
29.90.5
27.728.2
Auto4.5
Teleop23.3
End2.0
red by 15.6
4240
#10
14.30.1
10.310.4
Auto4.0
Teleop9.2
End1.1
Third
6910
#16
11.50.5
6.26.7
Auto3.4
Teleop6.9
End1.2
blue by 1.7
4459
#22
13.30.1
8.28.2
Auto2.9
Teleop9.7
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
33%Auto oddsEarned66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed20%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsEarned