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Red61
473019.4
1033811.0
450919.5
Blue103
1048226.5
602337.9
334423.4
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions496902040608010012061103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
Teleop+38
Endgame+36
Fouls+42
AutonomousRed +25
3Leave3
7Coral scored#2
34Coral points9
37Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +63
3Coral scored#16
10Coral points57
0Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
0Processor points12
8Net points12
8Algae points24
18Total teleop81
Reef
4L4#7
2L3#6
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#23
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +42
0Foul points6
61Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4509
#24
19.51.0
24.325.3
Auto5.9
Teleop13.0
End0.5
blue by 18.4
37.92.5
24.126.7
Auto6.1
Teleop30.7
End1.2
Second
4730
#11
19.41.0
15.616.6
Auto4.3
Teleop13.2
End2.0
blue by 7.0
26.52.5
20.022.5
Auto6.8
Teleop12.0
End7.7
Third
11.01.0
3.64.6
Auto2.4
Teleop6.4
End2.1
blue by 12.5
3344
#12
23.42.5
11.914.4
Auto3.8
Teleop19.2
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsMissed45%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
10%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsMissed