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Red160
507422.5
691957.9
126150.0
Blue67
767613.1
179514.4
926038.0
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12046010015016067

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+81Teleop
+93Endgame
+93Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
9Leave9
4Coral scored#1
21Coral points3
30Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +63
24Coral scored#12
86Coral points43
1Processor algae#1
6Net algae#1
6Processor points6
24Net points4
30Algae points10
116Total teleop53
Reef
8L4#4
8L3#5
7L2#2
5L1 · trough#2
35Game pieces#15
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +93
0Foul points0
160Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.93.7
42.646.4
Auto12.2
Teleop37.6
End8.1
red by 19.9
38.01.0
26.327.4
Auto5.8
Teleop31.1
End1.1
Second
50.03.7
34.638.3
Auto13.7
Teleop34.7
End1.6
red by 35.6
1795
#21
14.41.0
8.79.7
Auto3.1
Teleop10.0
End1.4
Third
5074
#13
22.53.7
21.124.8
Auto5.2
Teleop15.1
End2.3
red by 9.4
7676
#25
13.11.0
11.212.2
Auto4.9
Teleop7.0
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned9%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
74%Barge oddsEarned12%Barge oddsMissed