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Red66
582810.4
747010.6
332928.9
Blue39
690511.9
751414.2
424014.3
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions453102060801001206639

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+31Teleop
+33Endgame
+27Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave3
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points6
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +31
11Coral scored#3
41Coral points12
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
6Processor points0
4Net points8
10Algae points8
51Total teleop20
Reef
3L4#1
5L3#1
4L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#6
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +27
0Foul points6
66Total score39

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.91.9
18.920.8
Auto4.2
Teleop22.8
End1.9
red by 14.6
4240
#10
14.30.1
10.410.5
Auto4.0
Teleop9.2
End1.1
Second
7470
#17
10.61.9
16.518.4
Auto3.4
Teleop6.5
End0.7
blue by 3.6
7514
#19
14.20.1
10.810.9
Auto2.8
Teleop10.5
End1.0
Third
5828
#14
10.41.9
2.14.0
Auto3.0
Teleop6.9
End0.5
blue by 1.4
6905
#20
11.90.1
10.010.1
Auto2.9
Teleop6.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
22%Auto oddsMissed23%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed13%Barge oddsMissed