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Red161
602337.9
473019.4
177183.7
Blue106
1048226.5
100228.2
241526.7
98%Model gave it2%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1407050100150200161106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+49Teleop
+49Endgame
+55Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
9Leave3
6Coral scored#3
28Coral points13
37Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +28
22Coral scored#15
80Coral points54
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
6Processor points12
16Net points8
22Algae points20
102Total teleop74
Reef
10L4#7
8L3#5
4L2#3
6L1 · trough#3
33Game pieces#22
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +55
6Foul points0
161Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
83.72.3
71.673.8
Auto26.0
Teleop49.4
End8.2
red by 55.4
28.22.3
20.823.0
Auto7.3
Teleop19.4
End1.5
Second
37.92.3
26.728.9
Auto6.1
Teleop30.7
End1.2
red by 11.2
2415
#18
26.72.3
23.625.9
Auto3.8
Teleop22.1
End0.7
Third
4730
#11
19.42.3
16.618.9
Auto4.3
Teleop13.2
End2.0
blue by 7.0
26.52.3
22.524.8
Auto6.8
Teleop12.0
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
19%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsEarned