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Red80
507422.5
808030.9
445913.3
Blue72
1033811.0
692529.9
126150.0
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions528002040601001201401608072

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+4
Endgame+4
+8Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave3
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points13
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +3
11Coral scored#9
41Coral points34
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
55Total teleop52
Reef
5L4#5
3L3#4
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#16
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
12Foul points0
80Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.91.1
18.019.1
Auto6.5
Teleop22.8
End1.6
blue by 19.1
50.00.1
38.338.4
Auto13.7
Teleop34.7
End1.6
Second
5074
#13
22.51.1
24.825.9
Auto5.2
Teleop15.1
End2.3
blue by 7.4
6925
#15
29.90.1
28.228.3
Auto4.5
Teleop23.3
End2.0
Third
4459
#22
13.31.1
8.29.4
Auto2.9
Teleop9.7
End0.6
red by 2.3
11.00.1
4.64.6
Auto2.4
Teleop6.4
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsMissed60%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsMissed