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Red36
691011.5
690511.9
179514.4
Blue81
334423.4
751414.2
926038.0
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions276502040801001201403681

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+49
Endgame+45
Fouls+45
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave3
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +52
4Coral scored#16
14Coral points56
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
18Total teleop70
Reef
2L4#7
1L3#4
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
6Game pieces#20
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +45
0Foul points0
36Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1795
#21
14.40.5
9.710.2
Auto3.1
Teleop10.0
End1.4
blue by 23.5
38.01.7
27.429.1
Auto5.8
Teleop31.1
End1.1
Second
6905
#20
11.90.5
10.110.6
Auto2.9
Teleop6.9
End2.1
blue by 11.6
3344
#12
23.41.7
14.416.1
Auto3.8
Teleop19.2
End0.4
Third
6910
#16
11.50.5
6.77.1
Auto3.4
Teleop6.9
End1.2
blue by 2.7
7514
#19
14.21.7
10.912.6
Auto2.8
Teleop10.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
13%Auto oddsEarned22%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
7%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsMissed