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Red44
450919.5
884916.4
747010.6
Blue86
691957.9
767613.1
582810.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions667040506080901001104486

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+36
Endgame+46
Fouls+42
AutonomousBlue +17
6Leave0
1Coral scored#5
3Coral points26
9Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +19
4Coral scored#10
15Coral points36
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
0Processor points6
12Net points4
12Algae points10
27Total teleop46
Reef
2L4#5
1L3#6
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +42
4Foul points0
44Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4509
#24
19.51.2
25.324.0
Auto5.9
Teleop13.0
End0.5
blue by 38.4
57.91.6
46.447.9
Auto12.2
Teleop37.6
End8.1
Second
8849
#23
16.41.2
14.913.6
Auto2.9
Teleop12.3
End1.2
red by 3.3
7676
#25
13.11.6
12.213.8
Auto4.9
Teleop7.0
End1.2
Third
7470
#17
10.61.2
18.417.2
Auto3.4
Teleop6.5
End0.7
red by 0.2
5828
#14
10.41.6
4.05.6
Auto3.0
Teleop6.9
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsMissed26%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed54%Barge oddsEarned