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Red133
126150.0
179514.4
602337.9
Blue126
100228.2
884916.4
692529.9
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1218250100150200133126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+7Teleop
+7Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave3
5Coral scored#3
23Coral points17
23Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +4
17Coral scored#14
60Coral points52
3Processor algae#3
7Net algae#8
18Processor points18
28Net points32
46Algae points50
106Total teleop102
Reef
10L4#7
5L3#6
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
32Game pieces#28
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +7
0Foul points0
133Total score126

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.00.4
49.249.6
Auto13.7
Teleop34.7
End1.6
red by 20.1
6925
#15
29.90.9
29.029.9
Auto4.5
Teleop23.3
End2.0
Second
37.90.4
37.137.5
Auto6.1
Teleop30.7
End1.2
red by 9.6
28.20.9
27.428.2
Auto7.3
Teleop19.4
End1.5
Third
1795
#21
14.40.4
13.614.0
Auto3.1
Teleop10.0
End1.4
blue by 2.0
8849
#23
16.40.9
15.516.4
Auto2.9
Teleop12.3
End1.2