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Red98
808030.9
691011.5
926038.0
Blue121
126150.0
179514.4
602337.9
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions881175010015020098121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+13
Endgame+11
Fouls+23
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave3
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points13
19Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +16
14Coral scored#16
49Coral points59
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#6
12Processor points6
12Net points24
24Algae points30
73Total teleop89
Reef
6L4#5
3L3#7
5L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#26
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +23
0Foul points12
98Total score121

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.00.4
37.638.0
Auto5.8
Teleop31.1
End1.1
blue by 12.0
50.00.1
49.649.7
Auto13.7
Teleop34.7
End1.6
Second
30.90.4
30.530.9
Auto6.5
Teleop22.8
End1.6
blue by 7.0
37.90.1
37.537.6
Auto6.1
Teleop30.7
End1.2
Third
6910
#16
11.50.4
11.111.5
Auto3.4
Teleop6.9
End1.2
blue by 2.9
1795
#21
14.40.1
14.014.2
Auto3.1
Teleop10.0
End1.4