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Red90
126150.0
179514.4
602337.9
Blue50
582810.4
424014.3
690511.9
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions119320501001502009050

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+38Teleop
+34Endgame
+40Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
6Leave9
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points3
13Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +37
14Coral scored#7
51Coral points24
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
6Processor points0
12Net points8
18Algae points8
69Total teleop32
Reef
7L4#3
3L3#3
2L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +40
6Foul points0
90Total score50

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.00.3
48.548.2
Auto13.7
Teleop34.7
End1.6
red by 35.7
4240
#10
14.30.3
14.014.3
Auto4.0
Teleop9.2
End1.1
Second
37.90.3
36.336.0
Auto6.1
Teleop30.7
End1.2
red by 26.0
6905
#20
11.90.3
11.611.9
Auto2.9
Teleop6.9
End2.1
Third
1795
#21
14.40.3
12.912.6
Auto3.1
Teleop10.0
End1.4
red by 4.0
5828
#14
10.40.3
10.110.5
Auto3.0
Teleop6.9
End0.5