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Red78
808030.9
691011.5
926038.0
Blue42
1048226.5
751414.2
473019.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89670501001507842

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+38Teleop
+36Endgame
+36Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave9
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points3
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +34
9Coral scored#6
34Coral points20
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
12Processor points0
12Net points4
24Algae points4
58Total teleop24
Reef
5L4#3
4L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +36
0Foul points0
78Total score42

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.00.0
37.037.0
Auto5.8
Teleop31.1
End1.1
red by 11.5
26.50.5
27.527.0
Auto6.8
Teleop12.0
End7.7
Second
30.90.0
29.929.9
Auto6.5
Teleop22.8
End1.6
red by 11.5
4730
#11
19.40.5
20.419.9
Auto4.3
Teleop13.2
End2.0
Third
6910
#16
11.50.0
10.510.5
Auto3.4
Teleop6.9
End1.2
blue by 2.7
7514
#19
14.20.5
15.214.7
Auto2.8
Teleop10.5
End1.0