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Red64
507422.5
241526.7
747010.6
Blue52
334423.4
767613.1
332928.9
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions637140801001206452

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+10Teleop
+8Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points7
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +17
8Coral scored#6
29Coral points22
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
12Processor points6
8Net points4
20Algae points10
49Total teleop32
Reef
4L4#2
2L3#2
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +12
4Foul points0
64Total score52

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2415
#18
26.70.0
27.127.1
Auto3.8
Teleop22.1
End0.7
blue by 2.2
28.90.3
29.228.9
Auto4.2
Teleop22.8
End1.9
Second
5074
#13
22.50.0
23.023.0
Auto5.2
Teleop15.1
End2.3
blue by 0.9
3344
#12
23.40.3
23.823.4
Auto3.8
Teleop19.2
End0.4
Third
7470
#17
10.60.0
11.111.1
Auto3.4
Teleop6.5
End0.7
blue by 2.5
7676
#25
13.10.3
13.413.1
Auto4.9
Teleop7.0
End1.2