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Red175
183373.0
331831.4
177191.3
Blue134
126159.3
297476.8
753816.9
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions224162100150200250300175134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+23Teleop
+33Endgame
+41Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
3Leave0
8Coral scored#7
41Coral points33
44Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +12
24Coral scored#15
87Coral points53
1Processor algae#4
4Net algae#5
6Processor points24
16Net points20
22Algae points44
109Total teleop97
Reef
13L4#8
8L3#7
5L2#4
6L1 · trough#3
37Game pieces#31
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +41
8Foul points0
175Total score134

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
91.30.9
92.291.3
Auto27.4
Teleop54.3
End9.6
red by 14.6
2974
#10
76.80.7
77.476.8
Auto18.6
Teleop55.4
End2.8
Second
73.00.9
73.973.0
Auto15.3
Teleop47.7
End10.0
red by 13.7
59.30.7
60.059.3
Auto16.2
Teleop40.5
End2.6
Third
3318
#19
31.40.9
32.231.4
Auto6.6
Teleop21.2
End3.6
red by 14.5
7538
#40
16.90.7
17.516.9
Auto3.8
Teleop9.2
End3.8