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Red190
183373.0
331831.4
177191.3
Blue178
126159.3
297476.8
753816.9
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions225160100200250300190178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+4Teleop
+12Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave3
10Coral scored#8
51Coral points41
54Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +6
20Coral scored#28
72Coral points100
2Processor algae#1
7Net algae#3
12Processor points6
28Net points12
40Algae points18
112Total teleop118
Reef
12L4#9
7L3#14
5L2#6
6L1 · trough#7
39Game pieces#40
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +12
0Foul points0
190Total score178

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
91.30.4
92.692.2
Auto27.4
Teleop54.3
End9.6
red by 14.6
2974
#10
76.80.3
77.177.4
Auto18.6
Teleop55.4
End2.8
Second
73.00.4
74.373.9
Auto15.3
Teleop47.7
End10.0
red by 13.7
59.30.3
59.760.0
Auto16.2
Teleop40.5
End2.6
Third
3318
#19
31.40.4
32.632.2
Auto6.6
Teleop21.2
End3.6
red by 14.5
7538
#40
16.90.3
17.217.5
Auto3.8
Teleop9.2
End3.8