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Red148
126159.3
297476.8
753816.9
Blue138
745149.1
634053.8
926047.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions172168140160180200220148138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
+12Teleop
+10Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave0
4Coral scored#9
21Coral points44
30Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +26
14Coral scored#15
50Coral points54
5Processor algae#2
6Net algae#3
30Processor points12
24Net points12
54Algae points24
104Total teleop78
Reef
5L4#11
5L3#6
6L2#3
2L1 · trough#4
29Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +10
0Foul points0
148Total score138

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2974
#10
76.80.3
77.477.1
Auto18.6
Teleop55.4
End2.8
red by 22.9
53.80.4
54.253.8
Auto10.0
Teleop35.3
End8.6
Second
59.30.3
59.959.7
Auto16.2
Teleop40.5
End2.6
red by 10.2
49.10.4
49.449.1
Auto12.4
Teleop32.1
End4.6
Third
7538
#40
16.90.3
17.517.2
Auto3.8
Teleop9.2
End3.8
blue by 30.7
9260
#16
47.50.4
47.947.5
Auto8.8
Teleop37.7
End1.1