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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1186605010015020011596

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+27Teleop
+19Endgame
+19Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave0
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points12
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +27
19Coral scored#16
67Coral points56
1Processor algae#1
6Net algae#2
6Processor points6
24Net points8
30Algae points14
97Total teleop70
Reef
7L4#5
4L3#3
6L2#6
4L1 · trough#4
28Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
0Foul points0
115Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.70.1
51.051.1
Auto12.1
Teleop40.1
End7.6
red by 25.8
5293
#17
33.91.2
24.826.1
Auto8.9
Teleop22.8
End2.2
Second
5074
#24
26.10.1
22.522.6
Auto4.8
Teleop18.7
End2.5
blue by 4.7
3344
#35
30.81.2
23.424.7
Auto4.7
Teleop22.7
End3.3
Third
2415
#39
24.20.1
26.726.7
Auto2.7
Teleop20.7
End0.8
red by 5.0
4468
#29
19.21.2
15.116.4
Auto5.5
Teleop11.3
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
55%Barge oddsMissed13%Barge oddsEarned