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Red150
411239.4
83222.6
297476.8
Blue157
126159.3
808039.4
402649.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions129129130135140145155150157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+20
Teleop+9
Endgame+15
Fouls+7
AutonomousBlue +20
6Leave3
3Coral scored#8
17Coral points40
23Total auto43
TeleoperatedRed +11
23Coral scored#22
83Coral points78
1Processor algae#2
6Net algae#3
6Processor points12
24Net points12
30Algae points24
113Total teleop102
Reef
7L4#10
8L3#9
6L2#7
5L1 · trough#4
33Game pieces#35
BargeBlue +6
6Cage & park12
6Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +7
8Foul points0
150Total score157

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2974
#10
76.81.1
69.270.3
Auto18.6
Teleop55.4
End2.8
red by 17.5
59.31.9
50.051.9
Auto16.2
Teleop40.5
End2.6
Second
4112
#45
39.41.1
32.233.3
Auto9.3
Teleop28.9
End1.2
blue by 9.9
4026
#11
49.31.9
33.034.9
Auto10.9
Teleop30.9
End7.5
Third
832
#36
22.61.1
9.210.3
Auto3.2
Teleop15.5
End3.9
blue by 16.8
8080
#28
39.41.9
30.932.8
Auto7.4
Teleop29.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsMissed