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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions567401001505457

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+7
Endgame+9
Fouls+3
Autonomouslevel
0Leave3
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points6
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +7
8Coral scored#9
27Coral points34
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
0Processor points0
8Net points8
8Algae points8
35Total teleop42
Reef
4L4#4
2L3#3
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +3
6Foul points0
54Total score57

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4188
#22
32.30.1
20.420.4
Auto4.9
Teleop26.1
End1.3
blue by 7.3
9477
#12
39.60.1
24.224.1
Auto6.5
Teleop31.8
End1.3
Second
6705
#31
28.80.1
20.820.9
Auto6.5
Teleop20.0
End2.3
red by 8.3
20.50.1
13.913.8
Auto6.3
Teleop11.5
End2.7
Third
5219
#44
10.80.1
5.55.6
Auto3.6
Teleop6.3
End1.0
blue by 8.3
1414
#43
19.00.1
20.220.1
Auto2.3
Teleop15.9
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
31%Auto oddsMissed57%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsMissed