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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6213205010015020092124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
Teleop+30
Endgame+32
Fouls+32
AutonomousBlue +9
0Leave0
2Coral scored#4
10Coral points19
10Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +21
15Coral scored#23
54Coral points81
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
78Total teleop99
Reef
7L4#8
3L3#9
4L2#7
3L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +32
0Foul points0
92Total score124

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3329
#20
38.51.9
29.231.1
Auto4.6
Teleop31.5
End2.3
blue by 26.0
64.40.7
57.958.6
Auto14.7
Teleop41.8
End7.9
Second
3635
#33
37.81.9
23.225.0
Auto6.2
Teleop30.6
End0.9
Level
5109
#14
37.80.7
28.829.5
Auto5.3
Teleop33.0
End-0.5
Third
9522
#42
19.91.9
11.813.7
Auto4.3
Teleop14.6
End1.0
blue by 15.1
35.00.7
26.827.5
Auto8.6
Teleop16.8
End9.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsMissed83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsEarned9%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
8%Barge oddsMissed87%Barge oddsMissed