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Red119
692535.9
694443.5
810027.1
Blue178
507426.1
297476.8
745149.1
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9516150150200250119178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+45
Endgame+59
Fouls+59
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave6
3Coral scored#4
16Coral points20
16Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +35
20Coral scored#29
73Coral points104
3Processor algae#3
3Net algae#4
18Processor points18
12Net points16
30Algae points34
103Total teleop138
Reef
10L4#15
7L3#7
3L2#7
3L1 · trough#4
29Game pieces#40
BargeBlue +14
0Cage & park14
0Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +59
0Foul points0
119Total score178

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6944
#15
43.51.6
27.128.7
Auto6.5
Teleop35.6
End1.4
blue by 33.3
2974
#10
76.82.4
70.372.7
Auto18.6
Teleop55.4
End2.8
Second
6925
#25
35.91.6
31.332.9
Auto6.8
Teleop27.4
End1.8
blue by 13.1
49.12.4
35.237.6
Auto12.4
Teleop32.1
End4.6
Third
8100
#37
27.11.6
22.524.1
Auto4.6
Teleop20.8
End1.6
red by 1.0
5074
#24
26.12.4
22.625.0
Auto4.8
Teleop18.7
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsEarned14%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed73%Barge oddsEarned