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Red186
297476.8
183373.0
884921.9
Blue123
411239.4
521910.8
947739.6
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17666050100150200250300186123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+53Teleop
+65Endgame
+63Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
6Leave9
9Coral scored#3
45Coral points14
51Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +25
24Coral scored#19
85Coral points68
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#4
12Processor points12
24Net points16
36Algae points28
121Total teleop96
Reef
15L4#7
9L3#6
5L2#5
4L1 · trough#4
41Game pieces#28
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +63
0Foul points2
186Total score123

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2974
#10
76.81.7
75.076.7
Auto18.6
Teleop55.4
End2.8
red by 37.2
9477
#12
39.62.7
26.429.0
Auto6.5
Teleop31.8
End1.3
Second
73.01.7
52.554.2
Auto15.3
Teleop47.7
End10.0
red by 33.6
4112
#45
39.42.7
32.435.0
Auto9.3
Teleop28.9
End1.2
Third
8849
#38
21.91.7
15.817.5
Auto4.4
Teleop15.7
End1.8
red by 11.1
5219
#44
10.82.7
6.08.7
Auto3.6
Teleop6.3
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned43%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
25%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
68%Barge oddsEarned11%Barge oddsMissed