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Red112
83222.6
602345.2
691964.4
Blue123
510937.8
241524.2
634053.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1181160200300400112123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
Teleop+3
Endgame+5
Fouls+11
AutonomousRed +17
9Leave6
3Coral scored#0
14Coral points0
23Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +20
19Coral scored#21
67Coral points75
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#6
6Processor points6
12Net points24
18Algae points30
85Total teleop105
Reef
7L4#9
4L3#6
7L2#2
4L1 · trough#4
26Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
0Foul points6
112Total score123

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.40.1
60.460.3
Auto14.7
Teleop41.8
End7.9
red by 10.6
53.80.4
47.948.2
Auto10.0
Teleop35.3
End8.6
Second
6023
#32
45.20.1
37.637.5
Auto6.3
Teleop38.2
End0.7
red by 7.5
5109
#14
37.80.4
30.130.5
Auto5.3
Teleop33.0
End-0.5
Third
832
#36
22.60.1
8.07.9
Auto3.2
Teleop15.5
End3.9
blue by 1.6
2415
#39
24.20.4
24.725.1
Auto2.7
Teleop20.7
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
20%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsMissed