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Red109
402649.3
810027.1
952219.9
Blue66
590017.7
507426.1
753816.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions857005010015020010966

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+33Teleop
+37Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave6
4Coral scored#2
21Coral points10
30Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +19
13Coral scored#9
47Coral points34
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
67Total teleop48
Reef
6L4#3
5L3#3
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#14
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +43
6Foul points0
109Total score66

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4026
#11
49.31.2
36.237.4
Auto10.9
Teleop30.9
End7.5
red by 23.2
5074
#24
26.10.4
25.024.6
Auto4.8
Teleop18.7
End2.5
Second
8100
#37
27.11.2
24.125.3
Auto4.6
Teleop20.8
End1.6
red by 9.4
5900
#41
17.70.4
18.918.5
Auto4.1
Teleop11.4
End2.1
Third
9522
#42
19.91.2
13.714.9
Auto4.3
Teleop14.6
End1.0
red by 3.0
7538
#40
16.90.4
17.016.6
Auto3.8
Teleop9.2
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsEarned63%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed51%Barge oddsMissed