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Red110
560829.6
332938.5
670528.8
Blue126
808039.4
694443.5
164849.8
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7712850100150200110126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+12
Endgame+16
Fouls+16
AutonomousBlue +18
9Leave6
1Coral scored#5
6Coral points27
15Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +6
20Coral scored#18
73Coral points65
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
12Processor points6
8Net points16
20Algae points22
93Total teleop87
Reef
9L4#10
5L3#4
3L2#6
4L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +16
0Foul points0
110Total score126

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3329
#20
38.52.2
32.334.5
Auto4.6
Teleop31.5
End2.3
blue by 11.4
49.80.7
48.048.7
Auto11.1
Teleop30.1
End8.6
Second
5608
#30
29.62.2
27.229.4
Auto4.0
Teleop23.5
End2.1
blue by 13.9
6944
#15
43.50.7
30.631.3
Auto6.5
Teleop35.6
End1.4
Third
6705
#31
28.82.2
17.920.1
Auto6.5
Teleop20.0
End2.3
blue by 10.6
8080
#28
39.40.7
36.637.3
Auto7.4
Teleop29.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsEarned59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
6%Barge oddsMissed47%Barge oddsMissed