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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73104501508178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+5
+3Endgame
+3Fouls
AutonomousBlue +1
0Leave6
4Coral scored#3
22Coral points17
22Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +4
9Coral scored#9
31Coral points31
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
45Total teleop49
Reef
8L4#4
2L3#3
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#16
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
0Foul points0
81Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4026
#11
49.30.6
37.438.0
Auto10.9
Teleop30.9
End7.5
red by 0.2
49.11.1
38.036.8
Auto12.4
Teleop32.1
End4.6
Second
20.50.6
13.714.3
Auto6.3
Teleop11.5
End2.7
blue by 15.5
6925
#25
35.91.1
34.433.3
Auto6.8
Teleop27.4
End1.8
Third
4468
#29
19.20.6
15.516.1
Auto5.5
Teleop11.3
End2.4
red by 2.3
7538
#40
16.91.1
16.615.4
Auto3.8
Teleop9.2
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsEarned69%Barge oddsMissed