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Red67
590017.7
83222.6
952219.9
Blue129
926047.5
682928.9
418832.3
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42114010015020067129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+56
Endgame+56
Fouls+62
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave3
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points17
6Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +42
9Coral scored#18
33Coral points63
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#6
12Processor points12
12Net points24
24Algae points36
57Total teleop99
Reef
3L4#6
3L3#8
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#4
14Game pieces#29
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +62
0Foul points6
67Total score129

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
832
#36
22.61.0
7.98.9
Auto3.2
Teleop15.5
End3.9
blue by 24.9
9260
#16
47.51.4
43.444.8
Auto8.8
Teleop37.7
End1.1
Second
9522
#42
19.91.0
14.915.9
Auto4.3
Teleop14.6
End1.0
blue by 12.4
4188
#22
32.31.4
18.720.1
Auto4.9
Teleop26.1
End1.3
Third
5900
#41
17.71.0
18.519.5
Auto4.1
Teleop11.4
End2.1
blue by 11.2
6829
#27
28.91.4
28.930.2
Auto4.9
Teleop20.2
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsMissed45%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed13%Barge oddsMissed