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Red118
126159.3
529333.9
331831.4
Blue82
602345.2
810027.1
886524.1
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1419805020025011882

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+42Teleop
+42Endgame
+36Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave3
7Coral scored#2
33Coral points9
33Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +21
15Coral scored#8
55Coral points28
3Processor algae#2
2Net algae#5
18Processor points12
8Net points20
26Algae points32
81Total teleop60
Reef
7L4#4
6L3#2
6L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
27Game pieces#17
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +36
0Foul points6
118Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.30.0
52.452.4
Auto16.2
Teleop40.5
End2.6
red by 14.1
6023
#32
45.21.2
37.536.3
Auto6.3
Teleop38.2
End0.7
Second
5293
#17
33.90.0
30.730.6
Auto8.9
Teleop22.8
End2.2
red by 6.8
8100
#37
27.11.2
25.324.1
Auto4.6
Teleop20.8
End1.6
Third
3318
#19
31.40.0
29.229.2
Auto6.6
Teleop21.2
End3.6
red by 7.2
8865
#34
24.11.2
19.117.9
Auto2.8
Teleop18.7
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned44%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsEarned9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed8%Barge oddsMissed