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Red99
334430.8
411239.4
332938.5
Blue134
886641.5
164849.8
873635.0
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10112505015020025099134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+19
Endgame+29
Fouls+35
Autonomouslevel
6Leave9
3Coral scored#3
17Coral points14
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +19
13Coral scored#19
48Coral points69
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
12Processor points6
12Net points16
24Algae points22
72Total teleop91
Reef
7L4#8
3L3#6
4L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +35
0Foul points6
99Total score134

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4112
#45
39.40.2
35.035.3
Auto9.3
Teleop28.9
End1.2
blue by 10.4
49.81.0
48.749.7
Auto11.1
Teleop30.1
End8.6
Second
3329
#20
38.50.2
34.534.7
Auto4.6
Teleop31.5
End2.3
blue by 3.0
8866
#23
41.51.0
38.139.1
Auto8.6
Teleop30.5
End2.4
Third
3344
#35
30.80.2
26.226.4
Auto4.7
Teleop22.7
End3.3
blue by 4.2
8736
#26
35.01.0
26.227.2
Auto9.3
Teleop23.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
10%Barge oddsMissed42%Barge oddsEarned