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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70960501509890

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+20Teleop
+10Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave0
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points16
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +27
18Coral scored#12
63Coral points42
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
83Total teleop56
Reef
7L4#6
4L3#4
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
0Foul points2
98Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5109
#14
37.81.8
30.532.3
Auto5.3
Teleop33.0
End-0.5
red by 1.8
6925
#25
35.90.3
33.332.9
Auto6.8
Teleop27.4
End1.8
Second
8849
#38
21.91.8
17.519.2
Auto4.4
Teleop15.7
End1.8
blue by 13.2
35.00.3
30.830.4
Auto8.6
Teleop16.8
End9.6
Third
7538
#40
16.91.8
15.417.2
Auto3.8
Teleop9.2
End3.8
blue by 11.9
6705
#31
28.80.3
20.119.8
Auto6.5
Teleop20.0
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsMissed94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsEarned