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Red64
446819.2
590017.7
682928.9
Blue142
560829.6
297476.8
241524.2
1%Model gave it99%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7516505010015020025064142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+20
Teleop+82
Endgame+78
Fouls+78
AutonomousBlue +20
6Leave9
2Coral scored#5
10Coral points27
16Total auto36
TeleoperatedBlue +62
8Coral scored#24
28Coral points86
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
42Total teleop104
Reef
5L4#13
2L3#10
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
13Game pieces#33
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +78
0Foul points0
64Total score142

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6829
#27
28.90.7
30.229.5
Auto4.9
Teleop20.2
End3.7
blue by 47.9
2974
#10
76.80.1
76.776.7
Auto18.6
Teleop55.4
End2.8
Second
4468
#29
19.20.7
16.115.4
Auto5.5
Teleop11.3
End2.4
blue by 10.4
5608
#30
29.60.1
29.429.3
Auto4.0
Teleop23.5
End2.1
Third
5900
#41
17.70.7
19.518.7
Auto4.1
Teleop11.4
End2.1
blue by 6.6
2415
#39
24.20.1
25.125.0
Auto2.7
Teleop20.7
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsEarned69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed20%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed13%Barge oddsMissed