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Red137
947739.6
363537.8
402649.3
Blue158
521910.8
177191.3
529333.9
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11814750100200250137158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+11
Endgame+21
Fouls+21
AutonomousBlue +13
9Leave3
3Coral scored#7
14Coral points33
23Total auto36
TeleoperatedRed +2
22Coral scored#21
80Coral points74
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#5
12Processor points12
16Net points20
28Algae points32
108Total teleop106
Reef
6L4#12
6L3#10
8L2#4
5L1 · trough#2
31Game pieces#35
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +21
0Foul points0
137Total score158

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4026
#11
49.31.9
40.041.9
Auto10.9
Teleop30.9
End7.5
blue by 42.0
91.31.8
86.087.8
Auto27.4
Teleop54.3
End9.6
Second
9477
#12
39.61.9
33.435.3
Auto6.5
Teleop31.8
End1.3
red by 5.7
5293
#17
33.91.8
30.832.6
Auto8.9
Teleop22.8
End2.2
Third
3635
#33
37.81.9
29.431.4
Auto6.2
Teleop30.6
End0.9
red by 27.0
5219
#44
10.81.8
8.410.2
Auto3.6
Teleop6.3
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed72%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed59%Barge oddsEarned