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Red141
691964.4
141419.0
692535.9
Blue144
164849.8
334430.8
126159.3
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12714380100160180200220240141144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+7Teleop
Endgame+3
Fouls+3
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave3
5Coral scored#5
23Coral points27
23Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +14
22Coral scored#14
80Coral points50
1Processor algae#3
4Net algae#5
6Processor points18
16Net points20
22Algae points38
102Total teleop88
Reef
10L4#9
9L3#4
3L2#3
5L1 · trough#3
32Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +3
0Foul points0
141Total score144

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.40.6
60.060.6
Auto14.7
Teleop41.8
End7.9
red by 5.1
59.30.2
56.256.3
Auto16.2
Teleop40.5
End2.6
Second
6925
#25
35.90.6
32.933.5
Auto6.8
Teleop27.4
End1.8
blue by 13.9
49.80.2
49.749.9
Auto11.1
Teleop30.1
End8.6
Third
1414
#43
19.00.6
24.124.7
Auto2.3
Teleop15.9
End0.9
blue by 11.7
3344
#35
30.80.2
26.426.6
Auto4.7
Teleop22.7
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
37%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
65%Barge oddsEarned60%Barge oddsEarned