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Red127
682928.9
886641.5
100242.1
Blue115
241524.2
926047.5
694443.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11511990100110130140150127115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+2
+12Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave9
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points4
16Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +5
16Coral scored#21
57Coral points74
2Processor algae#2
7Net algae#4
12Processor points12
28Net points16
40Algae points28
97Total teleop102
Reef
8L4#8
3L3#4
4L2#6
4L1 · trough#4
28Game pieces#28
BargeRed +14
14Cage & park0
14Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
0Foul points0
127Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1002
#18
42.11.5
35.937.4
Auto7.6
Teleop32.2
End2.3
blue by 5.5
9260
#16
47.50.6
48.348.9
Auto8.8
Teleop37.7
End1.1
Second
8866
#23
41.51.5
39.140.6
Auto8.6
Teleop30.5
End2.4
blue by 2.0
6944
#15
43.50.6
33.033.6
Auto6.5
Teleop35.6
End1.4
Third
6829
#27
28.91.5
29.531.0
Auto4.9
Teleop20.2
End3.7
red by 4.6
2415
#39
24.20.6
25.025.6
Auto2.7
Teleop20.7
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned47%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsEarned15%Barge oddsMissed