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Red71
873635.0
507426.1
884921.9
Blue87
808039.4
590017.7
510937.8
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7810640601201401601807187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
Teleop+20
Endgame+16
Fouls+16
AutonomousRed +6
9Leave3
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
12Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +26
10Coral scored#17
37Coral points61
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
6Processor points12
12Net points8
18Algae points20
55Total teleop81
Reef
4L4#7
3L3#6
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#22
BargeRed +4
4Cage & park0
4Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +16
0Foul points0
71Total score87

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8736
#26
35.00.4
27.226.8
Auto9.3
Teleop23.5
End2.1
blue by 4.4
8080
#28
39.40.7
40.840.1
Auto7.4
Teleop29.9
End2.1
Second
5074
#24
26.10.4
25.425.0
Auto4.8
Teleop18.7
End2.5
blue by 11.6
5109
#14
37.80.7
32.331.5
Auto5.3
Teleop33.0
End-0.5
Third
8849
#38
21.90.4
19.218.8
Auto4.4
Teleop15.7
End1.8
red by 4.2
5900
#41
17.70.7
18.718.0
Auto4.1
Teleop11.4
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned45%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed8%Barge oddsMissed